6月汽车销量数据出炉，汽车各大车企捷报频传：比亚迪月销逼近40万辆，销量零跑突破9万，拉完蔚来、车企小鹏均站稳4万辆关口。集体
这一连串亮眼数字不禁让人疑惑：崩盘半年的狂欢汽车市场，终于在6月迎来反弹？汽车
然而，乘联会的销量数据迅速“打脸”。初步统计显示，拉完6月汽车零售量仅为165.1万辆，车企同比依然下降21%。集体
这种跌幅并非新鲜事。狂欢自去年12月起，汽车国内汽车销量持续两位数下滑，销量2月更是拉完触及谷底，同比降幅高达25.3%。这意味着每卖出100辆车，就比同期少卖25辆，任何品牌都难以独善其身。
宏观数据同样严峻。5月汽车零售额同比暴跌16.1%，直接导致全国社零总额降至-0.6%；若剔除汽车板块，社零数据则回升至1.1%。
汽车行业的寒意，可见一斑。
那么，市场真的没人买车了吗？透过各家车企的表现，真相或许更为复杂。
比亚迪：海外狂飙，国内承压
作为销量冠军，比亚迪上月交付40.3万辆，同比增长5.46%。
增长动力主要来自两方面：
- 高端品牌发力：方程豹销量3.5万辆，同比暴涨188%；腾势销量2万辆，增长28.9%。其中，方程豹钛7凭借方盒子差异化外观及不到20万的起售价，5月已跻身SUV销量榜第6名（6月数据待10日更新）。尽管缺乏大梁等硬派越野配置，但其“都市越野”的定位精准击中用户痛点。
- 海外销量爆发：6月出口17.5万辆，同比增长95%，占总销量43.7%。比亚迪已不再是单纯的国内巨头，而是具备全球竞争力的车企。
从1-2月数据看，巴西是比亚迪最大的海外市场，月均销量达2.6万台，断层领先。在英国、澳大利亚等市场，其市占率也表现强劲。
值得注意的是，除Dolphin Mini（海鸥）和ATTO 3（元PLUS）等入门车型外，SONG（宋）、SEAL（海豹）等中高端车型在海外也取得突破，证明国产车并非只能出口低端产品。
然而，比亚迪在国内的基本盘正面临挑战：海鸥、海豚的市场份额被吉利星愿侵蚀，秦、宋系列也面临激烈竞争。随着国内市场萎缩，比亚迪的销量重心正加速向海外转移。
这一现象揭示了一个矛盾现实：国内大盘下滑与车企销量上涨并存，核心在于车企战略重心的外移。
新势力突围：零跑靠“卷”出圈
并非所有车企都选择出海，部分新势力选择死磕国内。以零跑为例，6月销量9.3万辆，同比增长95%，逼近长城等传统巨头。
虽然借助斯特兰蒂斯渠道，零跑在欧洲表现不俗（6月海外销量2.1万辆），但其主要增量仍来自国内。
关键产品零跑A10自3月上市以来表现强劲，5月销量达2.2万辆，超越元UP成为小型SUV销冠。
其成功秘诀在于极致的性价比：起售价仅6.58万，顶配8.68万即配备激光雷达及城区NOA高阶智驾。此外，零跑C系列6月全面上新，坚持“加量不加价”，被网友戏称为“半价理想”。
零跑的成功表明，在消费理性回归的背景下，性价比已成为驱动销量的核心要素。
高端市场：9系SUV成为逆风翻盘点
尽管整体市场低迷，但9系大SUV市场却异常火热，成为部分车企的救命稻草。
蔚来和小鹏6月均交付4万辆，同比增速分别为62.9%和15.9%。
蔚来方面：
* 品牌总销量2.2万辆，同比增长50.1%。ES8持续热销，新车ES9开始上量。
* 子品牌乐道交付1.2万辆，增长83.5%，主力车型L80凭借与L90一致的尺寸、全系85度电池及低于L60顶配的起步价，展现出极高性价比。
* 萤火虫品牌交付7000辆，增长76.7%，表现超出预期。
小鹏方面：
* 主力车型MONA M03基本盘稳固。
* 主要增量来自大6座SUV小鹏GX，6月交付6739台，产能紧张，订单充足。
* 随着MONA L03上新，下半年小鹏销量有望进一步爆发。
相比之下，曾经的“蔚小理”三小只如今境遇迥异。理想汽车6月销量3万辆，同比下滑15%，陷入增长瓶颈。目前仅靠i6支撑，缺乏新车增量，L系列能否重整旗鼓开启第二曲线尚待观察。
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